Analisis Daya Saing Ekspor Minyak Sawit Indonesia di Pasar Global Periode 2011-2025

Analysis of the Export Competitiveness of Indonesian Palm Oil in the Global Market (2011–2025)

  • Guido Imanuel Pardede Universitas HKBP Nommensen Medan
Keywords: Minyak sawit, Daya saing ekspor, RCA, RSCA, Perdagangan internasional

Abstract

Minyak sawit merupakan salah satu komoditas ekspor strategis Indonesia yang memiliki kontribusi besar terhadap perolehan devisa dan perdagangan internasional. Penelitian ini bertujuan menganalisis perkembangan ekspor serta mengevaluasi daya saing komparatif minyak sawit Indonesia (HS-1511) di pasar global selama periode 2011-2025. Penelitian menggunakan data sekunder yang diperoleh dari International Trade Centre (ITC) Trade Map dan dianalisis dengan metode Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA), Revealed Symmetric Comparative Advantage (RSCA), serta statistik deskriptif. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa Indonesia memiliki keunggulan komparatif tertinggi dibandingkan Malaysia, Thailand, Belanda, dan Papua Nugini dengan nilai RCA rata-rata sebesar 50,59 dan nilai RSCA rata-rata sebesar 0,9605. Selain itu, Indonesia juga memiliki tingkat stabilitas daya saing tertinggi yang ditunjukkan oleh koefisien variasi RCA sebesar 13,83% dan koefisien variasi RSCA sebesar 0,60%. Thailand menunjukkan peningkatan daya saing yang signifikan dengan nilai RCA meningkat dari 0,77 pada tahun 2011 menjadi 2,21 pada tahun 2025 serta nilai RSCA meningkat dari -0,1281 menjadi 0,3772. Sebaliknya, Belanda mengalami penurunan daya saing secara bertahap hingga kehilangan keunggulan komparatif sejak tahun 2020. Hasil analisis RCA dan RSCA secara konsisten mengonfirmasi bahwa Indonesia merupakan negara dengan daya saing komparatif paling kuat dan paling stabil dalam perdagangan minyak sawit dunia selama periode penelitian. Oleh karena itu, penguatan hilirisasi, peningkatan produktivitas, diversifikasi pasar ekspor, dan pemenuhan standar keberlanjutan internasional perlu terus dilakukan untuk mempertahankan posisi kompetitif Indonesia di pasar global.

References

Anzani, V., Roessali, W., & Handayani, M. (2023a). Analysis of affecting factors export volume and competitiveness of Indonesian palm oil (Crude Palm Oil). Jurnal Ekonomi Pertanian Dan Agribisnis, 7(3), 950–962.

Anzani, V., Roessali, W., & Handayani, M. (2023b). Analysis of factors influencing volume export and competitiveness of crude palm oil Indonesian and Malaysian. Jurnal Hexagro, 7(1), 15–29. https://e-journal.unper.ac.id/index.php/hexagro/article/view/1055/806

Awaliyah, N. N., Iranto, D., & Mukhtar, S. (2023). Policy analysis of European Union Deforestation Regulation (EUDR) on Indonesian palm oil exports. International Student Conference on Business, Education, Economics, Accounting, and Management (ISC-BEAM), 1(1), 501–510. https://doi.org/10.21009/ISC-BEAM.011.34

Balassa, B. (1965). Trade liberalisation and “revealed” comparative advantage. The Manchester School, 33(2), 99–123.

Betrix, B., Fajri, H. C., & Rawung, S. S. (2022). Competitiveness of indonesia’s crude palm oil (cpo) in international markets: Based on database 2018. Journal of International Conference Proceedings, 5(2), 106–115. https://doi.org/10.32535/jicp.v5i2.1677

Ikasari, H. (2024). Dynamic Competitiveness of Indonesian Commodities in Major Export Destination. Jurnal Ekonomi Dan Studi Pembangunan, 16(1), 1–15. https://dx.doi.org/10.17977/um002v16i12024p001

Judijanto, L. (2025). Palm Oil Downstreaming Policy for Capturing Better Value-Added of Palm Oil. ARACÊ, 7(6), 34929–34952. https://doi.org/10.56238/sevened2025.021-078

Kırcıcek, T., & Ozparlak, G. (2023). The essential role of international trade on economic growth. Journal of Economics Finance and Accounting, 10(4), 191–202. https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2023.1826

Laursen, K. (2000). Trade Specialisation, Technology and Economic Growth. Edward Elgar Publishing.

Lugo-Arias, E., Lugo-Arias, J., Vargas, S. B., de la Puente Pacheco, M. A., Granados, I. B., Heras, C. B., & Hernández, D. T. (2024). Determinants of the competitiveness of world palm oil exports: A cointegration analysis. Transnational Corporations Review, 16(3), 200063.

Maulana, F. R., & Sukiyono, K. (2023). Analysis of Indonesian Palm Oil Competitiveness in the Main Export Destination Countries. Indonesian Journal of Agricultural Research, 6(2), 68–78.

Meliany, B. S., Rifin, A., & Syaukat, Y. (2025). Economic impacts of EU deforestation-free regulation on palm oil trade. Agricultural and Resource Economics: International Scientific E-Journal, 11(4), 309–336.

Nuraini, C., & Helbawanti, O. (2024). Comparative and competitive advantages of palm oil in international markets. Asian Journal of Management Analytics, 3(2), 581–590.

Prado, M. (2024). International trade theory. In Encyclopedia of International Strategic Management (pp. 251–253). Edward Elgar Publishing.

Pratama, M. C., & Prasetyo, A. (2025). Analysis Of The Competitiveness Of Indonesian And Malaysian Palm Oil Exports In The China Market. ICEETE Conference Series, 3(1), 184–195.

Reyhan, F., & Saputera, D. (2025). Comparative Study of Crude Palm Oil Exports to The Main Producing Countries in Asean. Golden Ratio of Social Science and Education, 5(1), 127–140.

Ronauly, I. E. (2024). Perkebunan kelapa sawit Indonesia yang berkelanjutan. Jurnal Syntax Admiration, 5(12), 5611–5624.

Rosyita, D., Maharani, I. M., Astaman, P., Hikmah, A., & Rachmadhan, A. A. (2025). Assessing the Impact of RED II and EUDR on Indonesia’s Palm Oil Export Market Share and Market Concentration in the European Union. Tarjih: Agribusiness Development Journal, 5(2), 362–370.

Setyoyuniyanto, Y. P., & Prasetyo, A. (2025). Analysis of Indonesian and Thai Palm Oil Export Competitiveness in the Indian Market. ICEETE Conference Series, 3(1), 139–147.

Silitonga, B., Malau, N. A., Paruta, G., & Hannoeriadi, I. (2023). Dynamic Revealed Comparative Advantage: Export Potential Crude Palm Oil (CPO) Indonesia Database 2018. Indonesian Journal of Banking and Financial Technology (FINTECH), 1(2), 167–182.

Sulaiman, A. A., Amruddin, A., Bahrun, A. H., Yuna, K., & Keela, M. (2024). New Challenges and Opportunities of Indonesian Crude Palm Oil in International Trade. Caraka Tani: Journal of Sustainable Agriculture, 39(1), 94-106. https://doi.org/10.20961/carakatani.v39i1.81957.

Suling, C. F., Purnomo, E. P., Hubacek, K., & Anand, P. (2023). The influence of “renewable energy directive II” policy for the sustainability of palm oil industry in Indonesia. Journal of Governance, 8(3), 330-347. http://dx.doi.org/10.31506/jog.v8i3.19930

Susilowati, I., Setyowati, E. P., Al Barabasi, H. A., & Khaeni, S. N. N. (2025). Competitiveness of Indonesia Palm Oil in the International Market. Efficient: Indonesian Journal of Development Economics, 8(2), 245–251.

Tandra, H., Suroso, A. I., Syaukat, Y., & Najib, M. (2022). The determinants of competitiveness in global palm oil trade. Economies, 10(6), 132.

Teguh, M., Marwa, T., Robiani, B., & Mukhlis, M. (2024). Prediction of indonesian palm cooking oil exports based on competitiveness. International Journal of Religion, 5(10), 4819–4828.

Published
2026-08-05